Track record · closed signal

DocuSign Inc (DOCU) — closed signal from June 19, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 17, 2026 — +62.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

DOCU price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$43.47 Published $51.29 Target $70.64 Window close $74.07 Peak
$41.50 – $44.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$43.47Published — price the day we called it
$51.29Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$74.07Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$70.64Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 26 days.

At window close
+62.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+70.4%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+2.1%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$70.64
last close inside the window, ended September 17, 2026
Peak price
$74.07
peak on September 15, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
26

The thesis — published June 19, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$51.29
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$41.50 – $44.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$43.47
published June 19, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

DocuSign looks like a beaten-down software company with better cash and profits than many smaller cloud peers, even though sales growth has slowed. New ChatGPT and Codex features plus a new product leader could make its agreement software more useful. Price appears recently oversold, so any rebound feels early and not yet fully proven.

Primary drivers

  • New AI integrations could make agreement software more useful
  • Strong balance sheet lowers financial stress risk
  • Consistent earnings beats show disciplined operations
  • Recent weak price action opens early rebound opportunity

How it played out

DOCU: target reached in 26 days

On June 19, Lyra published a short-term rebound thesis at $43.47, with expected growth of 18% and a target of $51.29. The thesis pointed to new ChatGPT and Codex features, a strong balance sheet, consistent earnings beats, and weak recent price action as reasons a rebound could begin.

DOCU reached the target in 26 days. It later peaked at $74.07 on September 15, a gain of 70.4%, and ended the window at $70.64 on September 17. The peak was well above the target, and the closing price remained above it. The thesis played out and exceeded its expected growth.

What happened during the window

On September 3, 2026, DocuSign reported second-quarter revenue of $875.7 million, up 9% year over year, and raised its fiscal 2027 guidance for revenue and annual recurring revenue.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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