Track record · closed signal

Columbia Banking System Inc (COLB) — closed signal from June 18, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 16, 2026 — -1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

COLB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$30.03 Published $32.04 Target $29.72 Window close $33.27 Peak
$28.55 – $29.77Entry zone — fair-value band
$30.03Published — price the day we called it
$32.04Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$33.27Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$29.72Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 28 days.

At window close
-1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+10.8%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+1%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$29.72
last close inside the window, ended September 16, 2026
Peak price
$33.27
peak on July 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
28

The thesis — published June 18, 2026

Predicted growth
+8%
over the measurement window
Target price
$32.04
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$28.55 – $29.77
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$30.03
published June 18, 2026
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Columbia Banking offers a steadier bank investment that tends to move less wildly than many peers. It shows reliable profit patterns, a fair price, and pays a dividend that supports income. Growth upside looks small, so the appeal is steady compounding, careful capital management, and the ability of a regional bank to hold value in a rough market.

Primary drivers

  • Lower-volatility regional bank exposure during a choppy market
  • Reliable profit performance helps the business withstand stress
  • Fair valuation plus dividend support an income-focused case
  • Price has a constructive base around current levels

How it played out

COLB: target reached in 28 days

Lyra published COLB at $30.03 with 8% expected growth and a $32.04 target. The thesis pointed to lower volatility in a choppy market, reliable profits, fair valuation, dividend support, and a constructive price base. It framed the stock as a steadier regional bank holding with limited growth upside.

COLB reached the target in 28 days and peaked at $33.27 on July 16, a 10.8% gain. It later fell and ended the window at $29.72. The published target was reached within the measurement period, so the thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On July 23, 2026, Columbia reported second-quarter net income of $208 million and diluted earnings per share of $0.73. On August 14, 2026, its board approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.37 per common share.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.