Track record · closed signal

GE Vernova LLC (GEV) — closed signal from June 17, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 15, 2026 — -12.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

GEV price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$1,011.94 Published $1,173.84 Target $882.81 Window close $1,195.94 Peak
$960.00 – $1,015.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$1,011.94Published — price the day we called it
$1,173.84Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$1,195.94Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$882.81Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 13 days.

At window close
-12.8%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+18.2%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+2.5%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$882.81
last close inside the window, ended September 15, 2026
Peak price
$1,195.94
peak on July 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
13

The thesis — published June 17, 2026

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$1,173.84
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$960.00 – $1,015.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$1,011.94
published June 17, 2026
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

GEV is positioned to grow because demand for power, grids, and electrification is limiting data-center expansion. A record backlog makes upcoming revenue easier to see. A recent broker cut the price target but still spoke positively, so the business outlook is intact. The near-term concern is that the stock has already moved up a lot, not that the company is weak.

Primary drivers

  • A record backlog gives clearer visibility into upcoming sales and revenue
  • Growing data-center needs tie directly to demand for power and grid equipment
  • Strong cash on hand helps the company fund projects and absorb delays
  • Analyst target was trimmed but coverage stayed positive, so views remain constructive

How it played out

GEV: target reached in 13 days

Lyra published a short-term thesis for GEV at $1,011.94, expecting 16% growth. The thesis pointed to record backlog, rising power and grid demand tied to data centers, strong cash, and positive broker coverage after a lower target. It also noted that the stock had already risen sharply.

GEV reached the $1,173.84 target in 13 days. It peaked at $1,195.94 on July 6, 2026, an 18.2% gain. By September 15, 2026, it had fallen to $882.81. The thesis played out within the measurement window because the target was reached, though the gain did not hold through the end.

What happened during the window

On July 22, 2026, GE Vernova reported second-quarter revenue of $11.1 billion and raised its 2026 revenue and free cash flow guidance.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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