Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corp (RRC) — closed signal from June 16, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 14, 2026 — +9.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$37.31 Published $41.69 Target $40.88 Window close $42.96 Peak
$35.83 – $37.57Entry zone — fair-value band
$37.31Published — price the day we called it
$41.69Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$42.96Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$40.88Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 71 days.

At window close
+9.6%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+15.1%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+1.7%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$40.88
last close inside the window, ended September 14, 2026
Peak price
$42.96
peak on September 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
71

The thesis — published June 16, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$41.69
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$35.83 – $37.57
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$37.31
published June 16, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources looks inexpensive and recently showed stronger profit results than some peers, creating a possible rebound if gas market worries calm down. Banks upgraded targets but also warned of near-term oversupply, which limits confidence for the next few months. If gas stabilizes, upside from current levels becomes more likely.

Primary drivers

  • Low price gives some protection against drops
  • Earnings have been steadier than similar companies
  • Higher analyst target supports a modest recovery case
  • Near-term gas oversupply is the main risk to gains

How it played out

RRC: target reached in 71 days

Lyra published a short-term thesis at $37.31, expecting 12% growth toward $41.69. The thesis pointed to a low share price, steadier earnings than peers, higher analyst targets, and a possible rebound if gas worries eased. It also named near-term gas oversupply as the main risk.

RRC reached $41.69 in 71 days and peaked at $42.96 on September 3, a 15.1% gain. It ended the window at $40.88, below the target but above the publication price. The thesis played out in full because the target was reached inside the measurement window.

What happened during the window

On July 21, Range reported second-quarter net income of $195 million and cash flow from operating activities of $235 million. On August 28, the company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.