Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) — closed signal from June 16, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 14, 2026 — -5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$355.00 – $370.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$367.69Published — price the day we called it

$422.84Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$384.48Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$349.39Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 31% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-5%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+4.6%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+1.7%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$349.39

last close inside the window, ended September 14, 2026

Peak price

$384.48

peak on August 5, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published June 16, 2026

Predicted growth

+15%

over the measurement window

Target price

$422.84

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$355.00 – $370.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$367.69

published June 16, 2026

Confidence

78%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet is a large, diversified tech company with search, video, cloud, and AI driving steady growth and good profit margins. The stock is trading near recent support, so it looks less stretched than popular high-momentum names. Recent Fitbit eligibility expands its consumer reach a bit; short-term market rotations could create volatility.

Primary drivers

Search, YouTube, cloud, and AI provide several steady sources of growth
Strong profit margins help the company weather market pullbacks
Fitbit eligibility slightly expands Alphabet's consumer device and services reach
Price being near support suggests less extension than momentum-driven names

How it played out

GOOGL: the 15% growth thesis did not play out

Lyra published the GOOGL thesis on June 16 at 367.69, with an expected gain of 15%. The thesis pointed to growth from Search, YouTube, cloud, and artificial intelligence, along with strong profit margins. It also cited wider Fitbit eligibility and a price near support.

The stock rose to a peak of 384.48 on August 5, a gain of 4.6%. It stayed below the 422.84 target throughout the window. By September 14, it had fallen to 349.39, below the publication price. The thesis did not play out.

What happened during the window

On July 22, Alphabet reported that quarterly revenue had grown 24% year over year. On August 20, Google announced new personalization features for Search, Discover, and Google News.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All GOOGL signals