Track record · closed signal

DocuSign Inc (DOCU) — closed signal from June 16, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 14, 2026 — +54.7% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

DOCU price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$45.08 Published $51.84 Target $69.76 Window close $70.40 Peak
$43.50 – $46.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$45.08Published — price the day we called it
$51.84Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$70.40Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$69.76Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 30 days.

At window close
+54.7%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+56.2%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+1.7%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$69.76
last close inside the window, ended September 14, 2026
Peak price
$70.40
peak on September 4, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
30

The thesis — published June 16, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$51.84
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$43.50 – $46.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$45.08
published June 16, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

DocuSign looks like a company trying to turn things around: recent results have beaten expectations and the company has enough cash to manage a slow period. New AI work tied to ChatGPT and Codex and a new product leader make the product story clearer, but sales momentum needs to show lasting improvement before confidence rises.

Primary drivers

  • AI-focused agreement tools give a clearer product story and growth angle
  • ChatGPT and Codex links make the platform more relevant to users
  • Regularly beating earnings adds credibility to operations
  • Healthy cash/liquidity eases pressure while the business resets

How it played out

DOCU: target reached in 30 days

Lyra published DOCU at $45.08 with expected growth of 15% and a target of $51.84. The thesis pointed to artificial intelligence agreement tools, links with ChatGPT and Codex, repeated earnings beats, and healthy cash and liquidity. It also said sales momentum still needed lasting improvement.

The stock reached the target in 30 days. It later peaked at $70.40 on September 4, a gain of 56.2%, and ended the window at $69.76. The peak and closing price were both above the target. The thesis played out and exceeded its stated price objective.

What happened during the window

On September 3, 2026, DocuSign reported second-quarter revenue of $875.7 million, up 9%, and raised its fiscal-year guidance for revenue and annual recurring revenue. On August 25, 2026, the company said its agreement platform was available within Google Cloud's Gemini Enterprise for Legal.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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