Track record · closed signal

Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA ADR (BVN) — closed signal from June 15, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 13, 2026 — -3.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BVN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$35.32 Published $38.85 Target $34.04 Window close $36.94 Peak
$33.50 – $35.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$35.32Published — price the day we called it
$38.85Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$36.94Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$34.04Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 46% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
-3.6%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+4.6%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+1.5%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$34.04
last close inside the window, ended September 13, 2026
Peak price
$36.94
peak on August 28, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target

The thesis — published June 15, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$38.85
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$33.50 – $35.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$35.32
published June 15, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Buenaventura is presented as a defensive pick among gold and silver miners. It benefits from healthy profit margins, a low stock valuation, and steadier price swings than more volatile miners. Peru-focused ETF buying has brought attention, but thin trading and weak near-term momentum limit upside; the company provides a quality cushion for a cautious materials position.

Primary drivers

  • Lower-price swings versus other miners balance a higher-risk portfolio
  • Healthy profit margins and low valuation make it more defensive
  • Recent Peru-focused ETF interest has increased the ADR's visibility
  • Low trading volume means price needs calm commodity conditions

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.