Track record · closed signal

Eldorado Gold Corp (EGO) — closed signal from June 15, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 13, 2026 — +30.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

EGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$33.45 Published $39.14 Target $43.75 Window close $48.29 Peak
$31.50 – $33.75Entry zone — fair-value band
$33.45Published — price the day we called it
$39.14Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$48.29Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$43.75Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 56 days.

At window close
+30.8%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+44.4%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+1.5%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$43.75
last close inside the window, ended September 13, 2026
Peak price
$48.29
peak on August 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
56

The thesis — published June 15, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$39.14
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$31.50 – $33.75
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$33.45
published June 15, 2026
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Eldorado looks interesting because its shares trade cheaply relative to peers, profits are getting better, and the McIlvenna Bay mine just produced its first copper concentrate. That copper news makes the company less dependent on gold alone. The stock has moved up from nearby support and metals can swing fast, so the setup is promising but needs selectivity.

Primary drivers

  • First copper concentrate gives a clear operational milestone
  • Low share price and rising profits help reduce risk if metals hold
  • Copper adds a new growth angle beyond gold production
  • Positive market view helps the project-ramp story despite metal swings

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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