Track record · closed signal

Eldorado Gold Corp (EGO) — closed signal from June 15, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 13, 2026 — +30.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

EGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$31.50 – $33.75Entry zone — fair-value band

$33.45Published — price the day we called it

$39.14Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$48.29Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$43.75Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 56 days.

At window close

+30.8%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+44.4%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+1.5%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$43.75

last close inside the window, ended September 13, 2026

Peak price

$48.29

peak on August 27, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published June 15, 2026

Predicted growth

+17%

over the measurement window

Target price

$39.14

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$31.50 – $33.75

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$33.45

published June 15, 2026

Confidence

74%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Eldorado looks interesting because its shares trade cheaply relative to peers, profits are getting better, and the McIlvenna Bay mine just produced its first copper concentrate. That copper news makes the company less dependent on gold alone. The stock has moved up from nearby support and metals can swing fast, so the setup is promising but needs selectivity.

Primary drivers

First copper concentrate gives a clear operational milestone
Low share price and rising profits help reduce risk if metals hold
Copper adds a new growth angle beyond gold production
Positive market view helps the project-ramp story despite metal swings

How it played out

EGO: target reached in 56 days

Lyra published a short-term thesis at $33.45, with 17% expected growth toward $39.14. The thesis pointed to the first copper concentrate at McIlvenna Bay, improving profits, a low valuation versus peers, and copper exposure beyond gold. It also noted support in the share price and the risk of metal swings.

The target was reached in 56 days. EGO peaked at $48.29 on August 27, a 44.4% gain from the published price, then ended the window at $43.75. The peak cleared the target, and the closing price remained above it. The thesis played out and exceeded its stated price objective.

What happened during the window

On July 20, 2026, Eldorado reported that the first ore had passed through the crushing circuit at Skouries. On September 8, 2026, the company reported that Skouries had produced its first copper-gold concentrate.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All EGO signals