Track record · closed signal

Broadcom Inc (AVGO) — closed signal from June 15, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 13, 2026 — -7.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AVGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$392.42 Published $466.20 Target $361.99 Window close $432.73 Peak
$378.74 – $398.68Entry zone — fair-value band
$392.42Published — price the day we called it
$466.20Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$432.73Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$361.99Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 54% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
-7.8%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+10.3%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+1.5%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$361.99
last close inside the window, ended September 13, 2026
Peak price
$432.73
peak on August 10, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 15, 2026

Predicted growth
+19%
over the measurement window
Target price
$466.20
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$378.74 – $398.68
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$392.42
published June 15, 2026
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Broadcom is benefiting from strong AI-chip sales and has a bigger long-term opportunity for custom chips and networking gear. Its software businesses reduce reliance on chip cycles. Still, high debt, some insider selling, and weak near-term price momentum keep conviction cautious.

Primary drivers

  • Recent reports show AI chip sales accelerating rapidly
  • Demand for custom AI chips and networking keeps Broadcom central
  • Infrastructure software reduces dependence on chip cycles
  • A recent oversold pullback improves the near-term picture

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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