Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corp (RRC) — closed signal from June 12, 2026

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 10, 2026 — +9.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$38.02 Published $42.86 Target $41.78 Window close $42.96 Peak
$36.33 – $38.32Entry zone — fair-value band
$38.02Published — price the day we called it
$42.86Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$42.96Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$41.78Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 100% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close
+9.9%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+13%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+2.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$41.78
last close inside the window, ended September 10, 2026
Peak price
$42.96
peak on September 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target

The thesis — published June 12, 2026

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$42.86
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$36.33 – $38.32
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$38.02
published June 12, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources provides exposure to natural gas, helping diversify an energy portfolio. Recent reports show strong quarterly performance and less debt, and price weakness could allow a bounce if gas market mood improves. Still, dependence on gas prices and company leverage means the idea is cautious, not a top conviction.

Primary drivers

  • Natural gas exposure gives energy diversification and upside if prices improve
  • Strong recent results show operating momentum and execution
  • Lower net debt increases financial flexibility and resilience
  • Price is beaten down, which can support a rebound if sentiment improves

How it played out

RRC: 13% thesis played out by September 3

Lyra published RRC at $38.02 with a short-term target of $42.86 and expected growth of 13%. The thesis pointed to natural gas exposure, strong recent results, lower net debt, and the chance of a rebound from price weakness if sentiment improved. It also treated gas-price dependence and leverage as risks.

During the window, RRC reached a peak of $42.96 on September 3, above the target. The peak gain was 13%, matching the expected growth. It ended the window at $41.78, below the target but above the publication price. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On July 21, 2026, Range reported second-quarter cash flow from operating activities of $235 million and average production of 2.30 Bcfe per day. On August 28, 2026, the company declared a quarterly dividend.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.