Track record · closed signal

IAMGold Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from June 12, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 10, 2026 — +25.2% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

IAG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$15.25 – $16.25Entry zone — fair-value band

$16.05Published — price the day we called it

$19.26Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$22.32Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$20.09Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 68 days.

At window close

+25.2%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+39.1%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+2.4%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$20.09

last close inside the window, ended September 10, 2026

Peak price

$22.32

peak on August 25, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published June 12, 2026

Predicted growth

+20%

over the measurement window

Target price

$19.26

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$15.25 – $16.25

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$16.05

published June 12, 2026

Confidence

73%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

IAMGold stands out because an updated estimate for its Cote Gold deposit gives a clear, company-level reason the stock could move. The shares trade cheaply and the company is starting to generate more profit, so gains in the gold price would help earnings and share value. But the stock swings a lot and follows gold prices closely, so confidence is limited.

Primary drivers

Updated Cote Gold estimate raises asset value
Gold exposure reduces reliance on one market
Low share price leaves room for big upside
Rising profits can change investor views on value

How it played out

IAG: target reached in 68 days

Lyra published IAG at $16.05 with a 20% expected gain and a $19.26 target. The thesis pointed to the updated Côté Gold estimate, exposure to gold, a low share price, and rising profits as factors that could lift the shares. It also noted that the stock swung widely and tracked gold prices closely.

Inside the window, IAG reached the target in 68 days. It peaked at $22.32 on August 25, a 39.1% gain, then ended at $20.09 on September 10. The peak was above the target, and the closing price stayed above it. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On June 17, 2026, IAMGold increased its revolving credit facility from $650 million to $850 million and extended its maturity to June 17, 2030. On August 6, 2026, the company reported second-quarter attributable gold production of 188,100 ounces and net earnings attributable to equity holders of $230.5 million.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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