Track record · closed signal

Frontline Ltd (FRO) — closed signal from June 11, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 9, 2026 — +31.7% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

FRO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$35.86 Published $37.80 Target $47.21 Window close $47.67 Peak
$32.60 – $34.43Entry zone — fair-value band
$35.86Published — price the day we called it
$37.80Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$47.67Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$47.21Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 4 days.

At window close
+31.7%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+32.9%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+3.6%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$47.21
last close inside the window, ended September 9, 2026
Peak price
$47.67
peak on September 9, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
4

The thesis — published June 11, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$37.80
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$32.60 – $34.43
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$35.86
published June 11, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Frontline provides exposure to energy and shipping while currently generating strong cash and offering a higher dividend after a recent increase. News on dividend plans and big new ship orders highlights both a short-term income chance and longer-term cycle risk. However, repeated missed earnings and limited balance-sheet flexibility reduce overall conviction.

Primary drivers

  • Higher dividend creates an immediate income reason to own the stock
  • Wide swings in tanker prices can boost short-term cash flow
  • Relatively cheap valuation offsets some shipping-cycle risk
  • Frequent missed earnings weaken overall confidence in performance

How it played out

FRO: target reached in 4 days and the thesis played out

Lyra published FRO at $35.86 with expected growth of 10% and a $37.80 target. The thesis pointed to the higher dividend, swings in tanker prices that could lift short-term cash flow, and a relatively cheap valuation. It also noted repeated missed earnings and limited balance-sheet flexibility, which reduced conviction.

The stock reached the target in 4 days. It later rose to a peak of $47.67 on September 9, a gain of 32.9%. That was above the published target. FRO ended the window at $47.21, still close to its peak. The thesis played out and the price move exceeded the expected growth.

What happened during the window

On August 28, 2026, Frontline reported second-quarter revenue of $943.3 million and declared a cash dividend of $2.61 per share.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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