$562.99Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$535.25Window close — end-of-window price, context only
What happened
Target reached
Reached its target in 33 days.
At window close
+36.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+43.6%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+3.6%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$535.25
last close inside the window, ended September 9, 2026
Peak price
$562.99
peak on September 9, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
33
The thesis — published June 11, 2026
Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$461.88
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$363.80 – $393.70
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$392.07
published June 11, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)
Dell is benefiting from growing demand for AI-focused servers and cloud infrastructure, and recent news shows expanding cloud work and a big backlog of AI orders. That helps explain the strong earnings. However, the stock has already run up and is somewhat extended, leverage is elevated, and insider selling is a concern, so the opportunity is selective, not a broad conviction.
Primary drivers
Strong demand for AI servers boosts infrastructure sales
Cloud expansion news increases visibility of future work
Big earnings beat supports the company's execution story
Extended price action and higher leverage reduce conviction
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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