Track record · closed signal

Dell Technologies Inc (DELL) — closed signal from June 11, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 9, 2026 — +36.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

DELL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$392.07 Published $461.88 Target $535.25 Window close $562.99 Peak
$363.80 – $393.70Entry zone — fair-value band
$392.07Published — price the day we called it
$461.88Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$562.99Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$535.25Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 33 days.

At window close
+36.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+43.6%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+3.6%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$535.25
last close inside the window, ended September 9, 2026
Peak price
$562.99
peak on September 9, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
33

The thesis — published June 11, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$461.88
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$363.80 – $393.70
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$392.07
published June 11, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Dell is benefiting from growing demand for AI-focused servers and cloud infrastructure, and recent news shows expanding cloud work and a big backlog of AI orders. That helps explain the strong earnings. However, the stock has already run up and is somewhat extended, leverage is elevated, and insider selling is a concern, so the opportunity is selective, not a broad conviction.

Primary drivers

  • Strong demand for AI servers boosts infrastructure sales
  • Cloud expansion news increases visibility of future work
  • Big earnings beat supports the company's execution story
  • Extended price action and higher leverage reduce conviction

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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