Track record · closed signal

Eldorado Gold Corp (EGO) — closed signal from June 11, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 9, 2026 — +48.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

EGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$30.03 Published $36.64 Target $44.58 Window close $48.29 Peak
$28.75 – $30.75Entry zone — fair-value band
$30.03Published — price the day we called it
$36.64Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$48.29Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$44.58Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 56 days.

At window close
+48.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+60.8%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+3.6%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$44.58
last close inside the window, ended September 9, 2026
Peak price
$48.29
peak on August 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
56

The thesis — published June 11, 2026

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$36.64
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$28.75 – $30.75
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$30.03
published June 11, 2026
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Eldorado just produced its first copper concentrate at McIlvenna Bay, giving a clear short-term event to watch and making the company less dependent on gold alone. Financials and price look reasonable, and recent updates show projects are progressing. Soft metals prices and lower trading volume reduce conviction, so confidence is moderate and the recent dip looks like a reasonable entry window.

Primary drivers

  • McIlvenna Bay copper milestone provides a clear near-term event to monitor
  • More sales from copper reduces reliance on gold and can attract different investors
  • Relatively low valuation makes an improved outlook likely to lift the stock
  • Recent pullback reflects weak metals and light trading, offering a cautious entry

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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