Track record · closed signal

Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) — closed signal from August 12, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 10, 2025 — +101.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

MU price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$125.46 Published $156.66 Target $253.20 Window close $256.97 Peak
$121.75 – $125.24Entry zone — fair-value band
$125.46Published — price the day we called it
$156.66Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$256.97Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$253.20Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 31 days.

At window close
+101.8%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+104.8%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+6.3%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$253.20
last close inside the window, ended November 10, 2025
Peak price
$256.97
peak on November 10, 2025 — not a realized return
Days to target
31

The thesis — published August 12, 2025

Predicted growth
+25%
over the measurement window
Target price
$156.66
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$121.75 – $125.24
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$125.46
published August 12, 2025
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Micron is riding strong demand for memory chips used in AI, data centers, and advanced computers. The company just raised its expected fiscal Q4 sales to $11.2B, showing customers want more of its products. More people are buying the stock than usual, but the price ran quickly, so 3-5% dips look safer to start. Risks include ups and downs in chip pricing and China headlines. Even so, market support and sector strength could keep the next 3 months positive as estimates climb.

Primary drivers

  • Uptrend is clear, and the recent average price has been rising quickly
  • Company lifted its fiscal Q4 sales outlook to $11.2B, signaling demand
  • AI growth is boosting demand and prices for the memory chips Micron makes
  • Lots more people are buying than usual, and investor mood is positive

How it played out

MU: target reached in 31 days

Lyra published MU at $125.46 on 2025-08-12 with expected growth of 25%. The thesis pointed to a clear uptrend, a raised fiscal Q4 sales outlook of $11.2B, demand for memory chips used in artificial intelligence, data centers, and advanced computers, and unusually strong buying interest.

Inside the 2025-08-12 to 2025-11-10 window, MU reached the $156.66 target in 31 days. The stock later peaked at $256.97 on 2025-11-10, with a peak gain of 104.8%. It ended at $253.20. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-09-23, Micron reported fiscal fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $3.03 per share and revenue of $11.32 billion. It also guided fiscal first-quarter revenue to $12.20 billion to $12.80 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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