Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) — closed signal from June 10, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 8, 2026 — -7% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$363.64 Published $418.19 Target $338.36 Window close $384.48 Peak
$350.00 – $365.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$363.64Published — price the day we called it
$418.19Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$384.48Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$338.36Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 38% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
-7%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+5.7%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+5.9%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$338.36
last close inside the window, ended September 8, 2026
Peak price
$384.48
peak on August 5, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 10, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$418.19
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$350.00 – $365.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$363.64
published June 10, 2026
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet looks like high-quality tech exposure after a recent drop in price. Strong earnings and big, steady money-making parts-search ads, YouTube, and cloud-support the case. News that Apple is using its AI and cloud services gives extra business validation. Near-term sentiment and regulatory risk call for cautious conviction, but the strong balance sheet supports a rebound case.

Primary drivers

  • Apple using Gemini and Google Cloud validates the AI and cloud offering
  • Search ads, YouTube, and cloud keep generating steady cash
  • Strong balance sheet reduces vulnerability to fines or slowdowns
  • Pullback looks cleaner than recent mega-cap moves, easing entry timing

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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