Track record · closed signal

LendingClub Corp (LC) — closed signal from June 10, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 8, 2026 — +7.1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

LC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$17.94 Published $21.52 Target $19.21 Window close $20.54 Peak
$16.75 – $18.10Entry zone — fair-value band
$17.94Published — price the day we called it
$21.52Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$20.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$19.21Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 73% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
+7.1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+14.5%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+5.9%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$19.21
last close inside the window, ended September 8, 2026
Peak price
$20.54
peak on June 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 10, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$21.52
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$16.75 – $18.10
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$17.94
published June 10, 2026
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

LendingClub looks cleaner than many small, high-volatility lenders: it keeps delivering profits, holds plenty of cash, and trades at a reasonable price. Moving to the Nasdaq and rebranding Happen Bank help reshape the story into a digital bank. Still, sensitivity to the loan market and thin trading make the stock riskier, though recent buying momentum makes a near-term, balanced setup.

Primary drivers

  • Nasdaq move and Happen Bank rename update the digital-bank story
  • Steady profit reports are rebuilding investor trust
  • Strong cash balances help absorb loan-market stress
  • Recent buying pressure exists but shares trade thinly

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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