Track record · closed signal

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc (AVAH) — closed signal from June 8, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 6, 2026 — +101.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AVAH price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$6.73 Published $8.07 Target $13.58 Window close $14.00 Peak
$6.25 – $6.85Entry zone — fair-value band
$6.73Published — price the day we called it
$8.07Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$14.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$13.58Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 15 days.

At window close
+101.9%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+108.2%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.5%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$13.58
last close inside the window, ended September 6, 2026
Peak price
$14.00
peak on August 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
15

The thesis — published June 8, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$8.07
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$6.25 – $6.85
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$6.73
published June 8, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Aveanna is a risky healthcare watch but the path to a positive move is visible. Acquisition news, clearer guidance, and an upgrade have attracted attention. The company trades cheaply, has a history of making earnings, and benefits from steady demand for home health services. High debt and integration work make short-term caution sensible.

Primary drivers

  • Acquisition expands where services are offered
  • New guidance creates a near-term event
  • Consistent earnings build credibility
  • High debt and integration add risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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