Track record · closed signal

First Majestic Silver Corp (AG) — closed signal from June 8, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 6, 2026 — +20.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$17.39 Published $20.86 Target $20.97 Window close $22.19 Peak
$16.50 – $17.80Entry zone — fair-value band
$17.39Published — price the day we called it
$20.86Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$22.19Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$20.97Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 72 days.

At window close
+20.6%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+27.6%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.5%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$20.97
last close inside the window, ended September 6, 2026
Peak price
$22.19
peak on August 28, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
72

The thesis — published June 8, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$20.86
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$16.50 – $17.80
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$17.39
published June 8, 2026
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

First Majestic is a speculative play on silver prices. The stock can move a lot: big gains happened, then a sharp drop tied to leveraged products. The company has growth and a solid balance sheet, which provides optionality, but sensitivity to silver prices and recent bearish price action mean expect a cautious 0-3 month outlook.

Primary drivers

  • Stronger silver prices would bring miners back into focus
  • Recent selloff raises the chance of a rebound trade
  • Healthy balance sheet lets the company ride cycles
  • Ongoing metal-price swings limit conviction near term

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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