Track record · closed signal

Frontline Ltd (FRO) — closed signal from June 8, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 6, 2026 — +35.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

FRO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$34.01 Published $37.48 Target $46.12 Window close $47.04 Peak
$30.99 – $33.15Entry zone — fair-value band
$34.01Published — price the day we called it
$37.48Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$47.04Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$46.12Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 7 days.

At window close
+35.6%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+38.3%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.5%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$46.12
last close inside the window, ended September 6, 2026
Peak price
$47.04
peak on September 4, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
7

The thesis — published June 8, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$37.48
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$30.99 – $33.15
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$34.01
published June 8, 2026
Confidence
73%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Frontline is a way to benefit from high ship rates instead of betting on oil prices. Recent company updates showed strong cash flow and made the dividend more appealing. Earlier profit shortfalls and the ups-and-downs of shipping rates keep overall confidence moderate, but the next few months look promising if Middle East freight stays tight and rate strength continues.

Primary drivers

  • Strong ship rates support cash flow and payouts
  • Dividend timing creates a near-term return chance
  • Middle East disruptions keep freight demand firm
  • Shipping cycle ups and downs reduce conviction

How it played out

FRO: target reached in 7 days

Lyra published FRO at 34.01 with expected growth of 15% and a target of 37.48. The thesis pointed to strong ship rates supporting cash flow and payouts, dividend timing, and firm freight demand tied to Middle East disruptions. It also cited the swings in the shipping cycle as a reason for moderate confidence.

The target was reached after 7 days. FRO later peaked at 47.04 on 2026-09-04, a 38.3% gain, and ended the window at 46.12. The thesis played out, and the stock exceeded the published target.

What happened during the window

On August 28, 2026, Frontline reported second-quarter profit of $659.2 million and declared a cash dividend of $2.61 per share. It also said it had agreed in July to sell two vessels for $270.0 million.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All FRO signals