Track record · closed signal

QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) — closed signal from August 11, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 9, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

QCOM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$149.19 Published $183.02 Target $170.02 Window close $204.90 Peak
$142.89 – $148.76Entry zone — fair-value band
$149.19Published — price the day we called it
$183.02Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$204.90Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$170.02Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 77 days.

Peak price
$204.90
peak on October 27, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+37.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$170.02
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
77
Window
August 11, 2025 – November 9, 2025

The thesis — published August 11, 2025

Predicted growth
+24%
over the measurement window
Target price
$183.02
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$142.89 – $148.76
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$149.19
published August 11, 2025
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Qualcomm's stock fell and now looks tired on the downside, which can set up a rebound. Sentiment stays upbeat, and trading has remained active. Hopes for lower interest rates help chipmakers even as China news weighs on some peers. We plan to start near the lower price area and add only if price strength returns. Over the next 3 months, edge AI, PC, and auto efforts could help shares move back toward earlier highs.

Primary drivers

  • Pulled back too far but investor mood stays positive, hinting at a bounce
  • New edge AI, PC, and auto products could boost demand and revenue
  • Chip sector is helped by hopes for interest rate cuts later this year
  • Active trading interest remains strong even after recent price softness

How it played out

QCOM: target reached in 77 days

Lyra published QCOM at 149.19 on 2025-08-11 with a short-term setup looking for 24% growth toward 183.02. The thesis pointed to a pulled-back stock with positive investor mood, active trading interest, hopes for lower interest rates, and possible support from edge artificial intelligence, PC, and auto efforts over the next 3 months.

Inside the window, QCOM rose past the target. It reached 204.9 on 2025-10-27, with a peak gain of 37.3%, and the target was reached in 77 days. It ended the window at 170.02. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On October 7, 2025, Qualcomm announced an agreement to acquire Arduino. On October 27, 2025, Qualcomm announced AI200 and AI250 accelerator products for data-center artificial intelligence inference.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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