Track record · closed signal

Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK-B) — closed signal from June 5, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 3, 2026 — +4.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BRK-B price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$474.00 – $490.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$484.78Published — price the day we called it

$518.71Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$537.74Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$508.13Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 59 days.

At window close

+4.8%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+10.9%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+5.1%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$508.13

last close inside the window, ended September 3, 2026

Peak price

$537.74

peak on August 10, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published June 5, 2026

Predicted growth

+7%

over the measurement window

Target price

$518.71

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$474.00 – $490.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$484.78

published June 5, 2026

Confidence

74%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Berkshire is presented as a steady, lower-risk choice instead of a big growth pick. Its mix of insurance, rails, energy, factories, retail and investments plus a very large cash pile means earnings come from many places and there is cash ready to be used. Recent talk about acquisitions makes the cash story more real, but uneven earnings and no strong short-term triggers mean likely small gains over the next few months.

Primary drivers

Multiple businesses mean less reliance on any one part of the company
A very large cash pile gives flexibility to buy businesses or invest
Recent acquisition talk increases options for using cash effectively
Historically lower price swings help in a cautious market

How it played out

BRK-B: target reached in 59 days

Lyra published BRK-B at $484.78 with expected growth of 7%. The thesis described Berkshire as a steady, lower-risk choice with likely small gains. It pointed to the mix of businesses, a very large cash pile, acquisition options and historically lower price swings.

The price reached the $518.71 target in 59 days. It peaked at $537.74 on August 10, a gain of 10.9%. By September 3, it had fallen to $508.13, below the target but above the publication price. The thesis played out within the window.

What happened during the window

On July 24, 2026, Berkshire completed its acquisition of Taylor Morrison. On August 8, it reported second-quarter net earnings attributable to shareholders of $25.67 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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