Track record · closed signal

Salesforce.com Inc (CRM) — closed signal from June 5, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 3, 2026 — +39.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

CRM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$183.05 – $192.01Entry zone — fair-value band

$189.62Published — price the day we called it

$232.63Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$268.27Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$264.43Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 83 days.

At window close

+39.5%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+41.5%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+5.1%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$264.43

last close inside the window, ended September 3, 2026

Peak price

$268.27

peak on September 3, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published June 5, 2026

Predicted growth

+23%

over the measurement window

Target price

$232.63

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$183.05 – $192.01

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$189.62

published June 5, 2026

Confidence

80%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Salesforce looks like a believable turnaround: results have come in better than expected, insiders are buying, and the valuation fits a big software company. A visible FIFA deal showcases Agentforce and Slack in real-world use and supports the AI adoption story. Debt and execution risk keep this from top-tier status near term.

Primary drivers

FIFA deal gives Agentforce and Slack public use cases and visibility
Business demand for workflow automation supports steady software spending
Recent results show the company is managing operations and costs
Insider buying signals confidence from people close to the company

How it played out

CRM: target reached in 83 days

Lyra published CRM at $189.62 with an expected 23% rise and a $232.63 target. The thesis pointed to better-than-expected results, insider buying, demand for workflow automation, and operating and cost management. It also cited the FIFA deal as a visible use case for Agentforce and Slack.

CRM reached the target in 83 days. It peaked at $268.27 on September 3, a 41.5% gain, and finished the window at $264.43. Both the peak and closing price were above the target. The thesis played out and exceeded its stated price objective.

What happened during the window

On June 5, Salesforce announced a partnership with FIFA covering the 2026 men's tournament and the 2027 women's tournament. On August 26, Salesforce reported fiscal second-quarter revenue of $11.3 billion and raised its fiscal 2027 revenue guidance.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

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