Track record · closed signal

Salesforce.com Inc (CRM) — closed signal from June 5, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 3, 2026 — +39.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

CRM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$189.62 Published $232.63 Target $264.43 Window close $268.27 Peak
$183.05 – $192.01Entry zone — fair-value band
$189.62Published — price the day we called it
$232.63Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$268.27Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$264.43Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 83 days.

At window close
+39.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+41.5%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+5.1%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$264.43
last close inside the window, ended September 3, 2026
Peak price
$268.27
peak on September 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
83

The thesis — published June 5, 2026

Predicted growth
+23%
over the measurement window
Target price
$232.63
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$183.05 – $192.01
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$189.62
published June 5, 2026
Confidence
80%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Salesforce looks like a believable turnaround: results have come in better than expected, insiders are buying, and the valuation fits a big software company. A visible FIFA deal showcases Agentforce and Slack in real-world use and supports the AI adoption story. Debt and execution risk keep this from top-tier status near term.

Primary drivers

  • FIFA deal gives Agentforce and Slack public use cases and visibility
  • Business demand for workflow automation supports steady software spending
  • Recent results show the company is managing operations and costs
  • Insider buying signals confidence from people close to the company

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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