Track record · closed signal

Universal Health Services Inc (UHS) — closed signal from June 5, 2026

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 3, 2026 — +15.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

UHS price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$146.58 Published $180.04 Target $169.21 Window close $179.73 Peak
$139.61 – $148.59Entry zone — fair-value band
$146.58Published — price the day we called it
$180.04Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$179.73Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$169.21Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 98% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close
+15.4%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+22.6%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+5.1%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$169.21
last close inside the window, ended September 3, 2026
Peak price
$179.73
peak on August 26, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 5, 2026

Predicted growth
+23%
over the measurement window
Target price
$180.04
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$139.61 – $148.59
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$146.58
published June 5, 2026
Confidence
75%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Universal Health Services looks cheap relative to its cash-making hospitals and behavioral health units. Recent approvals and a new physician arrangement give clear reasons the company could refocus and improve results. Short-term trading has been weak, so the chance of a rebound exists, but debt levels and high staffing costs mean caution is still warranted.

Primary drivers

  • Hospitals and behavioral care stay in steady demand, defensive in downturns
  • Talkspace approval provides a clear, company-specific boost
  • George Washington deal can help stabilize doctor operations and workflows
  • Low valuation gives some protection if the business executes as planned

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All UHS signals