Track record · closed signal

Weatherford International plc (WFRD) — closed signal from June 4, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 2, 2026 — -6.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

WFRD price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$104.81 Published $114.93 Target $97.71 Window close $105.65 Peak
$99.37 – $105.34Entry zone — fair-value band
$104.81Published — price the day we called it
$114.93Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$105.65Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$97.71Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 8% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
-6.8%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+0.8%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+1.3%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$97.71
last close inside the window, ended September 2, 2026
Peak price
$105.65
peak on June 4, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 4, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$114.93
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$99.37 – $105.34
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$104.81
published June 4, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Weatherford looks like a selective recovery idea because it added completions capabilities via the NCS Multistage deal and plans to move its legal home to the U.S., which could lower future costs. The stock is beaten down near trend support, but weak sales, light trading, and negative momentum mean the recovery depends on a wider improvement in oil-service sentiment and execution staying solid.

Primary drivers

  • NCS Multistage deal expands work on well completions
  • U.S. redomestication could lower future costs
  • Earnings progress would support a rebound case
  • Stronger oil activity helps service companies

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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