Track record · closed signal

Weatherford International plc (WFRD) — closed signal from June 4, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 2, 2026 — -6.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

WFRD price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$99.37 – $105.34Entry zone — fair-value band

$104.81Published — price the day we called it

$114.93Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$105.65Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$97.71Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 8% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-6.8%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+0.8%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+1.3%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$97.71

last close inside the window, ended September 2, 2026

Peak price

$105.65

peak on June 4, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published June 4, 2026

Predicted growth

+10%

over the measurement window

Target price

$114.93

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$99.37 – $105.34

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$104.81

published June 4, 2026

Confidence

66%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Weatherford looks like a selective recovery idea because it added completions capabilities via the NCS Multistage deal and plans to move its legal home to the U.S., which could lower future costs. The stock is beaten down near trend support, but weak sales, light trading, and negative momentum mean the recovery depends on a wider improvement in oil-service sentiment and execution staying solid.

Primary drivers

NCS Multistage deal expands work on well completions
U.S. redomestication could lower future costs
Earnings progress would support a rebound case
Stronger oil activity helps service companies

How it played out

WFRD: the 10% rebound thesis missed

Lyra published a short-term recovery thesis at $104.81, with 10% expected growth and a $114.93 target. The thesis pointed to the NCS Multistage deal, a planned move of the legal home to the U.S., earnings progress, and stronger oil activity. It also noted weak sales, light trading, and negative momentum.

WFRD peaked at $105.65 on June 4, a gain of 0.8%. It never reached the target. The stock ended the window on September 2 at $97.71, below both the publication price and the $99.37 to $105.34 entry zone. The published rebound thesis missed during the measured window.

What happened during the window

On June 11, 2026, shareholders supported the redomestication proposals, but measures requiring 75% approval failed. On July 21, 2026, Weatherford reported second-quarter revenue of $1,105 million, down 4% from the prior quarter.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All WFRD signals