Track record · closed signal

Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) — closed signal from June 4, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 2, 2026 — +1.2% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

ADC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$71.80 Published $77.44 Target $72.63 Window close $81.22 Peak
$69.03 – $71.48Entry zone — fair-value band
$71.80Published — price the day we called it
$77.44Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$81.22Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$72.63Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 33 days.

At window close
+1.2%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+13.1%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+1.3%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$72.63
last close inside the window, ended September 2, 2026
Peak price
$81.22
peak on July 29, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
33

The thesis — published June 4, 2026

Predicted growth
+9%
over the measurement window
Target price
$77.44
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$69.03 – $71.48
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$71.80
published June 4, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Agree Realty is mainly a property owner that leases stores to retailers and pays monthly dividends. It looks attractive as a defensive income trade because shares are oversold and insiders have bought, but trading volume is very light and the stock reacts to interest rates. The setup reads as income-backed stabilization rather than a growth story.

Primary drivers

  • Monthly dividends attract investors seeking steady income
  • Single-tenant leases create predictable rental cash flow
  • Insider buying signals internal confidence and alignment
  • Screening shows the REIT looks favorable versus peers

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.