Track record · closed signal

First Majestic Silver Corp (AG) — closed signal from June 4, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 2, 2026 — +5.1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$20.18 Published $24.21 Target $21.20 Window close $22.19 Peak
$19.25 – $20.25Entry zone — fair-value band
$20.18Published — price the day we called it
$24.21Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$22.19Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$21.20Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 50% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
+5.1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+10%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+1.3%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$21.20
last close inside the window, ended September 2, 2026
Peak price
$22.19
peak on August 28, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 4, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$24.21
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$19.25 – $20.25
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$20.18
published June 4, 2026
Confidence
73%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

First Majestic shows signs of stronger business performance: sales quality, good free cash flow and fatter silver profit margins. The stock fell recently and could bounce if silver prices settle. Still, swings in metal prices, exposure to Mexico and uneven past results limit confidence versus larger, steadier peers.

Primary drivers

  • Recent results showed healthy free cash flow and cleaner sales
  • Wider silver margins increase profit sensitivity to higher metal prices
  • A solid balance sheet reduces risk from metal price swings
  • The pullback creates a less crowded chance to re-enter at lower levels

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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