Track record · closed signal

SouthState Corporation (SSB) — closed signal from August 11, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 9, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

SSB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$92.68 Published $108.43 Target $87.85 Window close $105.00 Peak
$90.00 – $94.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$92.68Published — price the day we called it
$108.43Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$105.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$87.85Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 78% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$105.00
peak on September 5, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$87.85
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
August 11, 2025 – November 9, 2025

The thesis — published August 11, 2025

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$108.43
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$90.00 – $94.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$92.68
published August 11, 2025
Confidence
90%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

SouthState looks like a sturdy regional bank at a fair price. It sold a bit more than expected last quarter and keeps paying a steady dividend. With fewer worries around regional banks and hopes that borrowing costs may ease, the stock could work back toward prices from before the recent slide. Buying near $90-$94 aims to keep risk small, adding if strength returns, with downside kept below recent lows. Its careful lending and capital discipline add comfort.

Primary drivers

  • Last quarter beat on sales and a steady dividend support investor trust.
  • Strong business quality and improving mood could lift the share price.
  • Possible rate cuts would lower funding costs and help regional banks.
  • Careful lending and strict risk checks limit surprises in tough times.

How it played out

SSB: rose 13.3%, but never reached the target

Lyra published SSB on 2025-08-11 at $92.68 for a short-term window ending 2025-11-09. The thesis expected 17% growth toward $108.43. It pointed to a sales beat last quarter, a steady dividend, improving mood around regional banks, possible rate cuts, careful lending, and strict risk checks.

Inside the window, SSB rose to a peak of $105 on 2025-09-05, for a 13.3% gain. That was progress, but it stayed below $108.43. The stock ended the window at $87.85. The thesis partly played out on the early rise, but it missed the target and finished below the publication price.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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