Track record · closed signal

Frontline Ltd (FRO) — closed signal from June 3, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 1, 2026 — +35.1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

FRO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$29.84 – $32.14Entry zone — fair-value band

$32.82Published — price the day we called it

$36.48Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$45.29Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$44.32Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 9 days.

At window close

+35.1%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+38%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+1.3%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$44.32

last close inside the window, ended September 1, 2026

Peak price

$45.29

peak on August 28, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published June 3, 2026

Predicted growth

+16%

over the measurement window

Target price

$36.48

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$29.84 – $32.14

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$32.82

published June 3, 2026

Confidence

71%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Frontline is a cheaper way to get exposure to tankers and energy. Recent quarterly results showed strong profit and analysts see fair value above the current price. Shipping disruptions and geopolitical risk can lift freight earnings. However, the company has missed earnings before, carries debt, and recent price action is weak, so this is a short-term tactical idea rather than a core holding.

Primary drivers

Shipping disruptions are keeping freight rates higher
Recent quarterly results showed strong profits
Stock trades cheaply, offering cyclical upside
Geopolitical risks can keep demand for tankers strong

How it played out

FRO: target reached in 9 days

Lyra published FRO at $32.82 with expected growth of 16% and a $36.48 target. The thesis pointed to shipping disruptions, strong recent quarterly profits, a cheap valuation, and geopolitical risks that could support tanker demand. It also noted debt, past earnings misses, and weak price action.

The stock reached the target in 9 days. It later peaked at $45.29 on August 28, a gain of 38%. FRO ended the window at $44.32 on September 1, still above the target. The thesis played out and exceeded its stated price objective.

What happened during the window

On August 4, Frontline announced agreements to sell two vessels for $270 million. On August 28, it reported second-quarter profit of $659.2 million and revenue of $943.3 million.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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