Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from July 3, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 1, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$159.32 Published $183.20 Target $187.23 Window close $188.13 Peak
$156.96 – $160.96Entry zone — fair-value band
$159.32Published — price the day we called it
$183.20Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$188.13Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$187.23Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 28 days.

Peak price
$188.13
peak on October 1, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+18.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$187.23
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
28
Window
July 3, 2025 – October 1, 2025

The thesis — published July 3, 2025

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$183.20
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$156.96 – $160.96
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$159.32
published July 3, 2025
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Nvidia’s data-center chips are still hard to get, keeping prices high. On July 3 the firm briefly neared a four-trillion-dollar value, proving big investors remain keen. Trading and price action look strong after the stock split. With August results and a possible larger share-buyback ahead, aiming for about $183 within three months seems reasonable even though the shares are already expensive.

Primary drivers

  • Big cloud firms order more chips than Nvidia can supply, locking in sales through 2026
  • Near $4T value on July 3 shows steady demand from large investors for this AI leader
  • Heavy buying and solid price gains since the split signal continued upward momentum
  • Mid-August earnings and a likely larger buyback could lift the stock over the next 90 days

How it played out

NVDA: target reached in 28 days

Lyra published NVDA at $159.32 on 2025-07-03 with a short-term target of $183.20 and expected growth of 15%. The thesis pointed to tight supply for data-center chips, demand from large investors after a near four-trillion-dollar value, strong trading after the split, August results, and a possible larger buyback.

Inside the window, NVDA reached the target in 28 days. The peak was $188.13 on 2025-10-01, with a peak gain of 18.1%. The stock ended the window at $187.23. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-08-27, NVIDIA reported second-quarter revenue of $46.74 billion and adjusted earnings of $1.05 per share, according to Investopedia. On 2025-08-27, The Guardian reported that NVIDIA projected third-quarter revenue of $54 billion and announced an additional $60 billion stock buyback.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NVDA signals