Track record · closed signal

Equinox Gold Corp (EQX) — closed signal from June 2, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 31, 2026 — +3.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

EQX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$12.43 Published $14.67 Target $12.86 Window close $14.08 Peak
$11.80 – $12.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$12.43Published — price the day we called it
$14.67Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$14.08Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$12.86Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 74% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
+3.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+13.3%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+1.2%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$12.86
last close inside the window, ended August 31, 2026
Peak price
$14.08
peak on August 25, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 2, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$14.67
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$11.80 – $12.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$12.43
published June 2, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Equinox is a short-term, higher-risk mining idea tied to a possible merger that could make it a bigger North American gold producer. News about worker and governance problems adds uncertainty. Recent price weakness makes the setup more attractive, but mixed results and negative price pressure mean gains are speculative in the near term.

Primary drivers

  • Merger could make the company a larger North American gold producer
  • Gold exposure gives potential to benefit from rising gold demand
  • Recent pullback creates a clearer short-term buying window
  • Worker and governance issues increase risk around integration

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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