Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corp (BAC) — closed signal from June 2, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 31, 2026 — +18.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$52.13 Published $59.13 Target $61.94 Window close $65.23 Peak
$49.98 – $51.96Entry zone — fair-value band
$52.13Published — price the day we called it
$59.13Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$65.23Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$61.94Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 34 days.

At window close
+18.8%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+25.1%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+1.2%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$61.94
last close inside the window, ended August 31, 2026
Peak price
$65.23
peak on August 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
34

The thesis — published June 2, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$59.13
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$49.98 – $51.96
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$52.13
published June 2, 2026
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America looks like a steady, tradable bank pick over the next 0-3 months. Earnings have been reliable, more traders are taking part, and the stock still appears reasonably priced versus peers. Recent market caution means emphasis is on quality and volume, while insider selling and sensitivity to interest rates keep conviction moderate.

Primary drivers

  • Consistent earnings from core bank operations
  • Higher trading volume shows more market participation
  • Valuation level provides reasonable upside potential
  • Sensitivity to interest rates and credit is important

How it played out

BAC: target reached in 34 days

Lyra published BAC at $52.13 with 14% expected growth over the short-term window. The thesis pointed to consistent earnings from core banking, higher trading volume, and a valuation that appeared reasonable against peers. It also flagged sensitivity to interest rates and credit, which kept conviction moderate.

BAC reached the $59.13 target in 34 days. It later peaked at $65.23 on August 17, a 25.1% gain, and ended the window at $61.94. The peak was above the target, and the closing price remained above it. The published thesis played out and exceeded its stated target inside the measurement window.

What happened during the window

On July 14, 2026, Bank of America reported second-quarter net income of $9.1 billion and diluted earnings of $1.21 per share.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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