Track record · closed signal

360 Finance Inc (QFIN) — closed signal from June 1, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 30, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

QFIN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$17.03 Published $19.07 Target $8.80 Window close $17.25 Peak
$15.00 – $17.25Entry zone — fair-value band
$17.03Published — price the day we called it
$19.07Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$17.25Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$8.80Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 11% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$17.25
peak on June 1, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+1.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$8.80
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
June 1, 2026 – August 30, 2026

The thesis — published June 1, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$19.07
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$15.00 – $17.25
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$17.03
published June 1, 2026
Confidence
63%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

QFIN jumped sharply after much better profit and sales, but that quick rise makes buying now risky even though the stock looks cheap and trades easily. Earlier profit shortfalls, possible changes in China's rules, and sensitivity to the credit cycle increase the chance of a pullback over the next few months.

Primary drivers

  • Stronger profit and sales revived interest in China fintech
  • Low price compared with peers could allow a re-rating if results hold
  • Good trading volume reduces worry about illiquidity during swings
  • Price has run up quickly, increasing likelihood of a near-term pullback

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All QFIN signals