Track record · closed signal

Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) — closed signal from August 10, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 8, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

WFC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$77.44 Published $86.28 Target $86.04 Window close $88.04 Peak
$75.70 – $77.68Entry zone — fair-value band
$77.44Published — price the day we called it
$86.28Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$88.04Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$86.04Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 66 days.

Peak price
$88.04
peak on November 4, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$86.04
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
66
Window
August 10, 2025 – November 8, 2025

The thesis — published August 10, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$86.28
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$75.70 – $77.68
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$77.44
published August 10, 2025
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Wells Fargo looks temporarily knocked down while investor mood stays positive. A plan to take Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac public could lift confidence in home lending, which helps big banks. Still, news about loans, regulations, and deposits could keep the stock jumpy. Consider buying in steps near the range, and add only after a close above its recent average price, aiming for a 0-3 month move.

Primary drivers

  • Plan to take Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac public could lift housing finance.
  • Price looks beaten down while investor mood remains positive.
  • Recent strong interest from major investors points to ongoing attention.
  • Possible loan losses and tougher rules could cause sharp swings.

How it played out

WFC: target reached in 66 days

Lyra published WFC at $77.44 on 2025-08-10 with a short-term thesis for 12% growth. The thesis pointed to a possible Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac public listing lifting confidence in home lending, a beaten-down price while investor mood stayed positive, strong interest from major investors, and risks from loans, rules, and deposits.

Inside the window, WFC reached the $86.28 target in 66 days. It peaked at $88.04 on 2025-11-04, a 13.7% gain. It ended at $86.04 on 2025-11-08, below the target but still above the publication price. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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