Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from June 1, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 30, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$218.77 Published $253.47 Target $217.55 Window close $232.01 Peak
$204.52 – $219.49Entry zone — fair-value band
$218.77Published — price the day we called it
$253.47Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$232.01Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$217.55Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 38% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$232.01
peak on June 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+6.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$217.55
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
June 1, 2026 – August 30, 2026

The thesis — published June 1, 2026

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$253.47
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$204.52 – $219.49
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$218.77
published June 1, 2026
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA looks strong because its AI computing business is growing fast, makes lots of profit, and the company has plenty of cash. New RTX Spark and N1X chips extend its story beyond data centers into AI PCs and edge devices. Near term, the stock's upside depends on momentum improving, so the situation favors weakness and later stabilization rather than immediate enthusiasm.

Primary drivers

  • New RTX Spark and N1X chips expand the AI product lineup beyond servers
  • Multiple demand paths: data centers, personal computers, and edge AI devices
  • Strong profits and cash on hand help absorb market swings better than peers
  • Recent oversold price action suggests a rebound if momentum steadies

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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