Track record · closed signal

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from May 30, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 28, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLTR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$156.54 Published $175.32 Target $186.29 Window close $188.37 Peak
$145.00 – $155.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$156.54Published — price the day we called it
$175.32Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$188.37Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$186.29Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 72 days.

Peak price
$188.37
peak on August 28, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+20.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$186.29
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
72
Window
May 30, 2026 – August 28, 2026

The thesis — published May 30, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$175.32
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$145.00 – $155.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$156.54
published May 30, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Palantir shows strong momentum in AI software, solid profitability, and a healthy balance sheet that lets it keep investing. New AI-agent news boosts enterprise demand. However, its ties to defense and recent critical coverage raise reputational and policy concerns. The stock is priced high now, so upside exists in the near term but with limited margin for error.

Primary drivers

  • More businesses buying AI-agent tools increases software revenue potential
  • Government and defense customers create a lasting competitive edge
  • Healthy cash and profits let the company keep building products
  • Public and policy scrutiny make conviction weaker and adds risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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