Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from May 29, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 27, 2026 — +12% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$79.49 Published $84.51 Target $89.06 Window close $92.49 Peak
$77.50 – $79.47Entry zone — fair-value band
$79.49Published — price the day we called it
$84.51Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$92.49Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$89.06Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 39 days.

At window close
+12%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+16.4%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+2.2%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$89.06
last close inside the window, ended August 27, 2026
Peak price
$92.49
peak on August 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
39

The thesis — published May 29, 2026

Predicted growth
+7%
over the measurement window
Target price
$84.51
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$77.50 – $79.47
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$79.49
published May 29, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

KO is a steady, defensive beverage company with only modest upside potential. Recent analyst target increases, solid beverage results, and the World Cup marketing push help sentiment. The stock pulled back near its short-term trend, which improves the risk picture, but environmental concerns and limited growth restrain conviction.

Primary drivers

  • Analyst target raises lift defensive sentiment
  • Strong beverage results show the brand holds up
  • World Cup marketing can boost global attention
  • Demand for defensive stocks helps if risk appetite drops

How it played out

KO: target reached in 39 days

Lyra published KO at 79.49, expecting 7% growth over the short-term window. The thesis pointed to analyst target raises, solid beverage results, World Cup marketing, and demand for defensive stocks. It described the company as steady but said environmental concerns and limited growth restrained conviction.

KO reached the target in 39 days. It peaked at 92.49 on August 24, a 16.4% gain, above the 84.51 target. It ended August 27 at 89.06, still above the target. The published thesis played out and exceeded its stated price objective within the window.

What happened during the window

On July 28, 2026, Coca-Cola reported second-quarter net revenue growth of 7% and raised its full-year guidance.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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