Track record · closed signal

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) — closed signal from May 29, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 27, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$1,115.26 Published $1,237.93 Target $1,176.10 Window close $1,292.65 Peak
$1,030.00 – $1,090.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$1,115.26Published — price the day we called it
$1,237.93Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$1,292.65Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$1,176.10Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 31 days.

Peak price
$1,292.65
peak on August 19, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$1,176.10
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
31
Window
May 29, 2026 – August 27, 2026

The thesis — published May 29, 2026

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$1,237.93
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$1,030.00 – $1,090.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$1,115.26
published May 29, 2026
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

LLY looks set to keep growing because of strong weight-loss drug results, hopeful gene-therapy developments, and more insurance coverage for its obesity medicines. The company is executing well and customers are staying interested, but the stock has already climbed a lot. Short-term gains depend on how quickly the obesity drugs are adopted, future drug progress, and coverage updates.

Primary drivers

  • Strong weight-loss drug results that keep Lilly a leader
  • More insurance coverage making drugs affordable for patients
  • Promising gene-therapy and heart-metabolism drug prospects
  • Consistent sales and solid company execution supporting demand

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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