Track record · closed signal

Dorian LPG Ltd (LPG) — closed signal from May 29, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 27, 2026 — +24.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

LPG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$36.34 – $39.21Entry zone — fair-value band

$39.55Published — price the day we called it

$45.64Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$52.10Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$49.28Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 63 days.

At window close

+24.6%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+31.7%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+2.2%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$49.28

last close inside the window, ended August 27, 2026

Peak price

$52.10

peak on August 21, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published May 29, 2026

Predicted growth

+18%

over the measurement window

Target price

$45.64

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$36.34 – $39.21

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$39.55

published May 29, 2026

Confidence

74%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Dorian LPG looks like a shipping name that may rebound. Recent results showed better-than-expected charter economics and stronger adjusted EBITDA, and the company returned cash with an irregular dividend. The stock pulled back, so short-term upside may be more attractive, but shipping demand swings and light trading volume mean risk remains.

Primary drivers

Better-than-expected charter economics helped recent results
Irregular dividend shows the company can return cash
Higher energy-shipping demand can lift freight rates
The pullback improves near-term risk versus reward

How it played out

LPG: target reached in 63 days

Lyra published LPG at $39.55 with an 18% short-term growth thesis. It expected a rebound after a pullback. The thesis pointed to better-than-expected charter economics, stronger adjusted EBITDA, an irregular dividend, higher energy-shipping demand, and better near-term risk versus reward after the pullback.

Within the window, LPG reached the $45.64 target in 63 days. It later peaked at $52.10 on August 21, a 31.7% gain from publication. The stock ended the window at $49.28, still above the target. The thesis played out fully: it reached the expected level and held above it at the end.

What happened during the window

On June 23, Dorian LPG announced a new vessel contract and agreements to sell three vessels. On August 5, the company reported first-quarter revenue of $187.9 million and adjusted EBITDA of $165.4 million.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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