Track record · closed signal

Nextera Energy Inc (NEE) — closed signal from May 28, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 26, 2026 — -3.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

NEE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$83.77 – $87.22Entry zone — fair-value band

$87.26Published — price the day we called it

$94.42Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$90.99Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$84.22Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 48% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-3.5%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+4.3%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+1.8%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$84.22

last close inside the window, ended August 26, 2026

Peak price

$90.99

peak on July 28, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published May 28, 2026

Predicted growth

+9%

over the measurement window

Target price

$94.42

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$83.77 – $87.22

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$87.26

published May 28, 2026

Confidence

66%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

NextEra mixes steady utility business with growing renewable projects. Recent merger talk with Dominion creates a possible step-up in size but also invites legal and shareholder questions. The company carries higher debt and recent trading is weak, so confidence is limited. Prices look oversold, suggesting a cautious short-term rebound rather than clear upward momentum.

Primary drivers

Utility business provides steady cash flow and defensive exposure
Renewable projects support long-term sales and project backlog
Proposed Dominion deal could materially change company scale and costs
Oversold price action increases chance of a short-term rebound

How it played out

NEE: the rebound fell short of the target

On May 28, Lyra expected a cautious short-term rebound of 9%. The thesis pointed to steady utility cash flow, renewable projects, the proposed Dominion deal, and oversold price action. It also noted higher debt, weak trading, and questions around the deal.

The stock rose from $87.26 to a peak of $90.99 on July 28, a gain of 4.3%. It stayed below the $94.42 target and ended the window at $84.22. The rebound partially played out, but the published growth thesis missed its target.

What happened during the window

On July 15, NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy filed applications seeking regulatory approval for their proposed combination. On July 24, NextEra Energy reported second-quarter net income of $3.144 billion, or $1.50 per share.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NEE signals