Track record · closed signal

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) — closed signal from May 27, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 25, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$1,081.97 Published $1,190.16 Target $1,233.66 Window close $1,292.65 Peak
$1,025.00 – $1,070.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$1,081.97Published — price the day we called it
$1,190.16Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$1,292.65Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$1,233.66Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 30 days.

Peak price
$1,292.65
peak on August 19, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+19.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$1,233.66
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
30
Window
May 27, 2026 – August 25, 2026

The thesis — published May 27, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$1,190.16
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$1,025.00 – $1,070.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$1,081.97
published May 27, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Eli Lilly is a high-quality healthcare growth company driven by its obesity and diabetes businesses and a deep pipeline. New retatrutide results made the long-term medical story stronger and kept investor focus on next-generation incretin drugs. Near-term risk is higher because the stock is trading above preferred levels and volume is light.

Primary drivers

  • Retatrutide results boost confidence in next-wave obesity drugs
  • Diabetes and obesity franchises make earnings more predictable
  • Large, diverse pipeline supports sustained healthcare growth
  • Current pricing and light volume mean patience and price discipline matter

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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