Track record · closed signal

Old National Bancorp (ONB) — closed signal from May 26, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 24, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ONB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$24.09 Published $26.34 Target $25.77 Window close $27.36 Peak
$23.12 – $24.01Entry zone — fair-value band
$24.09Published — price the day we called it
$26.34Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$27.36Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$25.77Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 37 days.

Peak price
$27.36
peak on August 4, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$25.77
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
37
Window
May 26, 2026 – August 24, 2026

The thesis — published May 26, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$26.34
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$23.12 – $24.01
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$24.09
published May 26, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Old National appears to be a steadier regional bank because it delivers consistent profits and its valuation is not demanding. There are few company-specific headlines, so future gains depend on steady business execution rather than big news. Short-term risks include local credit concerns, rising deposit costs and low trading activity, which limit upside over the next few months.

Primary drivers

  • Valuation looks reasonable for a regional bank
  • Steady profit delivery supports stability
  • Recent news gives little direct boost to the stock
  • Credit trends and deposit costs limit near-term upside

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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