Track record · closed signal

GE Aerospace (GE) — closed signal from May 26, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 24, 2026 — +10.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

GE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$309.51 Published $343.56 Target $341.84 Window close $388.84 Peak
$295.00 – $307.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$309.51Published — price the day we called it
$343.56Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$388.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$341.84Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 20 days.

At window close
+10.4%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+25.6%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+2%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$341.84
last close inside the window, ended August 24, 2026
Peak price
$388.84
peak on August 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
20

The thesis — published May 26, 2026

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$343.56
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$295.00 – $307.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$309.51
published May 26, 2026
Confidence
69%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

GE Aerospace is a steady industrial business that makes and services aircraft engines. Strong aftermarket demand and repeated earnings beats show it delivers results. Recent positive news on aerospace and defense keeps sentiment favorable. The stock has moved up quickly, so betting on short-term continued gains is riskier than waiting for a pullback.

Primary drivers

  • Aftermarket engine work creates steady revenue
  • Consistent earnings beats show operational strength
  • Defense and sector headlines support positive sentiment
  • Recent strong price action makes timing around pullbacks important

How it played out

GE: target reached in 20 days

Lyra published an 11% growth thesis from a price of $309.51. The thesis pointed to steady aftermarket engine revenue, repeated earnings beats, supportive aerospace and defense headlines, and recent price strength. It also noted that the quick rise made short-term timing riskier and favored an entry between $295 and $307.

GE reached the $343.56 target in 20 days. It later peaked at $388.84 on 2026-08-06, a 25.6% gain, then ended the window at $341.84. The target was reached within the measurement period, although the closing price was below it. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On July 16, 2026, GE Aerospace reported second-quarter total revenue of $13.3 billion, up 21%, and raised its full-year guidance.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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