Track record · closed signal

Equinox Gold Corp (EQX) — closed signal from May 26, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 24, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

EQX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$12.63 Published $15.41 Target $13.76 Window close $13.91 Peak
$12.00 – $12.80Entry zone — fair-value band
$12.63Published — price the day we called it
$15.41Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$13.91Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$13.76Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 46% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$13.91
peak on August 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+10.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$13.76
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
May 26, 2026 – August 24, 2026

The thesis — published May 26, 2026

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$15.41
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.00 – $12.80
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$12.63
published May 26, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

EQX is a higher-risk bet on linking gold companies together. Recent news about combining with Orla and a higher price target from Stifel make the idea strategic for building a larger North American gold business. However, a recent earnings shortfall, uncertainty about combining the companies and weak price action mean a smaller, short-term placement is preferred despite a possible rebound.

Primary drivers

  • Merger with Orla creates a clear path to a larger gold company
  • Stifel raising its target draws renewed investor interest
  • Price looks oversold, so a short rebound is possible
  • Earnings miss and integration risk keep conviction limited

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.