Track record · closed signal

Old National Bancorp (ONB) — closed signal from May 24, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 22, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ONB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$23.80 Published $26.49 Target $25.81 Window close $27.36 Peak
$22.92 – $23.81Entry zone — fair-value band
$23.80Published — price the day we called it
$26.49Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$27.36Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$25.81Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 44 days.

Peak price
$27.36
peak on August 4, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$25.81
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
44
Window
May 24, 2026 – August 22, 2026

The thesis — published May 24, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$26.49
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$22.92 – $23.81
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$23.80
published May 24, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Old National looks like a steadier regional bank pick because it has been delivering consistent profits, is priced reasonably, and swings less than many higher-risk names. Most recent moves are driven by the banking sector overall rather than company-specific events, so confidence is moderate. If credit concerns stay limited, the stock can serve a balanced short-term role.

Primary drivers

  • Regular profit delivery makes the bank more dependable
  • Valuation appears fair relative to peers and risks
  • Lower price swings provide portfolio stability
  • Positive regional-bank mood helps near-term demand

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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