Track record · closed signal

Frontline Ltd (FRO) — closed signal from May 24, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 22, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

FRO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$35.57 Published $39.20 Target $43.67 Window close $45.17 Peak
$32.87 – $34.43Entry zone — fair-value band
$35.57Published — price the day we called it
$39.20Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$45.17Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$43.67Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 25 days.

Peak price
$45.17
peak on August 19, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+27%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$43.67
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
25
Window
May 24, 2026 – August 22, 2026

The thesis — published May 24, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$39.20
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$32.87 – $34.43
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$35.57
published May 24, 2026
Confidence
75%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Frontline reported record profit and has unusually strong tanker bookings for the quarter, which makes near-term cash flow easier to predict. The stock still trades like a cyclical shipping name rather than a perfection-priced company, creating a measured chance of a rebound over the next few months. Main risk: shipping rates can swing quickly.

Primary drivers

  • Booked tankers give clearer short-term cash flow visibility
  • Record profits back up the claim that higher rates are being captured
  • Cyclical valuation allows upside if shipping rates remain strong
  • Heavily sold position increases chance of a near-term bounce

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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