Track record · closed signal

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) — closed signal from May 24, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 22, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$1,065.00 Published $1,160.85 Target $1,255.40 Window close $1,292.65 Peak
$990.00 – $1,035.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$1,065.00Published — price the day we called it
$1,160.85Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$1,292.65Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$1,255.40Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 12 days.

Peak price
$1,292.65
peak on August 19, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+21.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$1,255.40
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
12
Window
May 24, 2026 – August 22, 2026

The thesis — published May 24, 2026

Predicted growth
+9%
over the measurement window
Target price
$1,160.85
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$990.00 – $1,035.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$1,065.00
published May 24, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Eli Lilly looks strong because new trial results for its obesity drug expand the sales runway. The retatrutide update reinforces its leadership in a key growth area. Near-term, the stock is extended after recent gains, so the immediate upside is less clear. Debt levels also reduce overall conviction for now.

Primary drivers

  • Retatrutide trial strengthens leadership in obesity drugs
  • Diabetes and obesity businesses expected to keep growing
  • Consistent earnings beats show reliable execution
  • Recent price run means timing for entry matters

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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