Track record · closed signal

Maplebear Inc. (CART) — closed signal from May 23, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 21, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

CART price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$41.22 Published $46.99 Target $49.83 Window close $51.82 Peak
$39.50 – $41.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$41.22Published — price the day we called it
$46.99Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$51.82Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$49.83Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 26 days.

Peak price
$51.82
peak on August 20, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+25.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$49.83
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
26
Window
May 23, 2026 – August 21, 2026

The thesis — published May 23, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$46.99
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$39.50 – $41.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$41.22
published May 23, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Maplebear has clear ways to make more money: a new self-serve ads tool that should boost higher-profit ad revenue, and a partnership with Airbnb that could bring more grocery orders. The company still shows uneven results and price swings, so confidence is moderate; a solid balance sheet reduces some of the downside risk.

Primary drivers

  • Self-serve ads tool should grow higher-margin ad revenue
  • Airbnb tie-up can add more orders from travelers
  • Healthy balance sheet funds platform growth and weathering volatility
  • Mixed results and consumer swings mean elevated risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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