Track record · closed signal

Old National Bancorp (ONB) — closed signal from May 23, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 21, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ONB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$23.80 Published $26.49 Target $25.81 Window close $27.36 Peak
$22.92 – $23.81Entry zone — fair-value band
$23.80Published — price the day we called it
$26.49Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$27.36Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$25.81Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 45 days.

Peak price
$27.36
peak on August 4, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$25.81
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
45
Window
May 23, 2026 – August 21, 2026

The thesis — published May 23, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$26.49
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$22.92 – $23.81
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$23.80
published May 23, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

ONB offers a steadier way to own a regional bank. The company keeps delivering steady profits and its dividend makes returns more visible to investors. Because the stock is sensitive to interest rates and current market momentum is weak, expected upside is modest, though the price is not stretched and sits near a stable range.

Primary drivers

  • Steady profits support the regional-bank investment case
  • New dividend makes shareholder returns more visible
  • Valuation is moderate, allowing slow revaluation upside
  • Sensitivity to rates and credit keeps the outlook cautious

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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