Track record · closed signal

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) — closed signal from May 23, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 21, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$1,065.00 Published $1,214.10 Target $1,255.40 Window close $1,292.65 Peak
$1,015.00 – $1,055.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$1,065.00Published — price the day we called it
$1,214.10Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$1,292.65Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$1,255.40Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 34 days.

Peak price
$1,292.65
peak on August 19, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+21.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$1,255.40
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
34
Window
May 23, 2026 – August 21, 2026

The thesis — published May 23, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$1,214.10
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$1,015.00 – $1,055.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$1,065.00
published May 23, 2026
Confidence
81%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Eli Lilly looks like a strong growth company because demand for its obesity treatments is clearly visible and new late-stage results for retatrutide reinforce its leadership. Profitability and margins are unusually strong for a large drugmaker, and recent news keeps attention on next-generation metabolic medicines. The shares have run up, so buying on pullbacks is viewed as a cleaner way to enter ahead of the main obesity catalyst.

Primary drivers

  • Retatrutide trial news bolsters Lillys next-gen obesity drugs
  • Visible sales demand across obesity and diabetes products
  • Reliable earnings and margins support higher valuation
  • Lower sensitivity to market swings helps reduce short-term noise

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.